This analysis uses real executed historical CryptoPunk sales in strict time order to test whether PunkPredictor decisions improved risk-adjusted returns versus the Buy-All benchmark.
Dataset scope: only sales that occurred while PunkPredictor was live, using the latest publicly shown prediction available before each sale timestamp.
P&L measurement scope: only punks with at least two observed sales in this dataset, so each result is a real buy-to-next-sale outcome.
Is trading CryptoPunks profitable? Read the dated study of ETH and USD outcomes, ownership checks, trading costs and unsold holdings.
Enter only when predicted sale price (valuation) is above the current sale price.
Enter every eligible sale with no prediction filter, then compare outcomes side by side.
| Metric | PunkPredictor | Buy-All Benchmark |
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Trade construction: Buy Date/Price is the sale where the strategy would enter, and Sell Date/Price is the next observed sale for that same punk. Rows only exist for punks with at least two observed sales.
| Image | Punk ID | Buy Date | Sell Date | Buy Price (ETH) | Predicted Selling Price (ETH) | Sell Price (ETH) | Buy-All Takes? | PunkPredictor Takes? | Profit (ETH) | Realized Return % |
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