This analysis uses real executed historical V1 CryptoPunk sales in strict time order to test whether PunkPredictor decisions improved risk-adjusted returns versus the Buy-All benchmark.
Dataset scope: this view builds real V1 buy-to-next-sale flip pairs in strict time order from the historical V1 sales table. Predictions are attached only where a matching V1 prediction exists for the original buy-side sale event, and the analysis window starts at the first V1 prediction timestamp.
V1 coverage note: both strategies are evaluated on the same V1 flips with an available V1 prediction. The Buy-All benchmark takes every such flip, while PunkPredictor only takes rows where the prediction is above the buy price.
P&L measurement scope: only punks with at least two observed sales in this dataset, so each result is a real buy-to-next-sale outcome.
Enter only when predicted sale price (valuation) is above the current sale price.
Enter every eligible sale with no prediction filter, then compare outcomes side by side.
| Metric | PunkPredictor | Buy-All Benchmark |
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Trade construction: Buy Date/Price is the sale where the strategy would enter, and Sell Date/Price is the next observed sale for that same punk. Rows only exist for punks with at least two observed sales.
| Image | Punk ID | Buy Date | Sell Date | Buy Price (ETH) | Predicted Selling Price (ETH) | Sell Price (ETH) | Buy-All Takes? | PunkPredictor Takes? | Profit (ETH) | Realized Return % |
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