Across 2,979 historical sales, PunkPredictor's typical valuation lands within ~5% of the actual sale price, with a slight conservative bias.
Most prediction errors fall between -10% and +10%.
| ID | Punk | Sold for | Predicted | Error % | Date | Buyer | Seller |
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| Buyer | # of Buys | Mean Bias Positive = Paid less than what the model estimated; Negative = Paid more than what the model estimated | Median Bias Positive = Paid less than what the model estimated; Negative = Paid more than what the model estimated | FMV Surplus (Ξ) Sum over buys of (Predicted − Sold). Positive = bought below model fair value; Negative = overpaid vs model. |
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| Seller | # of Sales | Mean Bias Positive = Received less than what the model estimated; Negative = Received more than what the model estimated | Median Bias Positive = Received less than what the model estimated; Negative = Received more than what the model estimated | FMV Surplus (Ξ) Sum over sales of (Sold − Predicted). Positive = sold above model fair value; Negative = sold below model. |
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